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PGA Tour Championship and Odds to Win Fedex Cup

sergio-garcia-pga-championshipTwenty-Nine of the best players on the PGA Tour will be present to battle over both the Tour Championship as well as the FedEx Cup (it would be 30 if not for Dustin Johnson’s leave of absence). And although one may yield the other, you can be sure that players will have more of their attention acutely focused on the FedEx Cup, and its ten million dollar first prize, and not the Tour Championship and its total purse of just eight million. This betting preview includes the odds for the outright winner of the Tour Championship as well as the odds for the outright winner of the FedEx Cup. They are all provided by Pinnacle Sports.

Rory Mcilroy is the favorite to win the Tour Championship and his position is very well deserved. Although he hasn’t yet notched a victory in the PGA Tour Playoffs this season, he does have two top ten finishes as well as a T22 at the Barclays. His eighth place finish at the BMW was secured despite a duo of four putts that marred an otherwise well played event. A wager on Rory to win the Tour Championship will net you odds of 5.190. Visit Pinnacle Sportsbook

Adam Scott and Jim Furyk are next in line on the odds table. Furyk has a couple of things going for him at odds of 11.500. He’s a former FedEx Cup champion having won it and the Tour Championship back in 2010 and he’s had a solid run through this year’s playoffs. He tied for fourth at the BMW Championship, tied for twenty-third at the Deutsche Bank, and locked up a solo eighth place finish at the Barclays. Adam Scott is being offered up at odd of 11.4500 and although he’s only recorded one top ten finish during the playoffs, he is a former winner of the Tour Championship and showed some good form last week. His starting 71 was followed up by a 69 and a pair of 66’s.

Other than these three players, the two that really need to be taken into consideration are Zach Johnson and Sergio Garcia. Sergio’s 4th place performance last week would have looked much finer were it not for an eighth that he recorded on the 71st hole. He’s been knocking on victory’s doorstep all season and deserves one just as much as he has nearly earned one. Zach Johnson owns the course record at East Lake; a 60 that he shot back in 2007. Bobby Jones’ home track is stricken with water and the need for a lot of well thought out golf. He tied for seventh here last year and is currently being offered up at odds of 44.600 at Pinnacle Sports.

2014 PGA Tour Championship Outright Winner Odds from Pinnacle Sports

Rory McIlroy @ 5.190 Adam Scott @ 11.450 Jim Furyk @ 11.500
Sergio Garcia @ 14.910 Rickie Fowler @ 14.360 Justin Rose @ 15.470
Jordan Spieth @ 19.950 Bubba Watson @ 20.620 Billy Horschel @ 23.130
Jason Day @ 30.610 Martin Kaymer @ 18.310 Bill Haas @ 25.350
Matt Kuchar @ 31.690 Hunter Mahan @ 38.090 Zach Johnson @ 44.600
Chris Kirk @ 60.910 Jimmy Walker @ 40.410 Webb Simpson @ 41.860
Ryan Palmer @ 46.790 Hideki Matsuyama @ 43.310 Morgan Hoffman @ 64.960
Gary Woodland @ 61.480 Geoff Ogilvy @ 67.990 John Senden @ 88.090
Patrick Reed @ 88.090 Russell Henley @ 78.220 Kevin Na @ 88.090
Brendon Todd @ 109.840 Cameron Tringale @ 100.920

 

The FedEx Cup uses an odd and ever evolving points system which has resulted in a list of five players that can win the FedEx Cup if they win the Tour Championship.  This is, of course, regardless of whether or not their opponents finish runner up or in any other position. These five players are Chris Kirk, Billy Horschel, Bubba Watson, Rory McIlroy, and Hunter Mahan. Chris Kirk, who is currently number one in the standings can still win if he comes dead last, but he has a reasonable chance of winning if he finishes in the top five. Billy Horschel can win if he finishes as low as sixth, Bubba Watson can finish as low as fourth, Rory McIlroy can finish as low as third and Hunter Mahan must at least finish in a tie for second if he hopes to win.

The odds table reflects these possibilities for the most part, but leaves Hunter Mahan well out of the fight. His odds are at 19.180 and there are three players ahead of him on the odds table that would need to win and also get some help from their opponents in order to take home the FedEx Cup’s top prize. Jim Furyk, for example, would need to win and have both Billy Horschel and Chris Kirk finish outside the top two. He’s sitting at odds of 14.960. Rickie Fowler would need to win and have everyone in the top five other than Hunter Mahan fall outside the top three at the Tour Championship. He’s going off at 19.050.

Betting on the FedEx cup is such a dubious thing to undertake that online sportsbooks rarely even offer odds on it. The fact that Pinnacle Sports is doing so this year means that either they are getting a better handle on how the points system works or the points system is finally becoming a more reasonable a predictable calculation.

2014 FedEx Cup Outright Winner Odds from Pinnacle Sports

Rory McIlroy @ 3.300 Bubba Watson @ 8.570 Billy Horschel @ 10.040
Chris Kirk @ 10.040 Jim Furyk @ 14.960 Adam Scott @ 19.050
Rickie Folwer @ 19.050 Hunter Mahan @ 19.180 Sergio Garcia @ 21.090
Jordan Spieth @ 31.130 Jimmy Walker @ 36.150 Jason Day @ 41.140
Matt Kuchar @ 41.140 Bill Haas @ 42.050 Martin Kaymer @ 51.190
Zach Johnson @ 66.250 Justin Rose @ 66.250 Patrick Reed @ 101.30
Ryan Palmer @ 101.360 Webb Simpson @ 101.360 John Senden @ 126.450
Russell Henley @ 151.550 Morgan Hoffmann @ 151.550 Hideki Matsuyama @ 176.630
Geoff Ogilvy @ 201.710 Cameron Tringale @ 226.810 Kevin Na @ 251.900
Brendon Todd @ 251.900 Gary Woodland @ 251.900

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