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PGA BMW Championship Odds

adam-scott-bmw-championshipThe BMW Championship is the last leg of the FedEx Cup playoffs before we cut things down to the top thirty players in the standings and head to East Lake for the Tour Championship. There are two very notable omissions from the 2014 BMW Championship odds table which are difficult to swallow and they are Tiger Woods and Dustin Johnson who both just happen to be defending champions at this event. Even if those two were in the mix, however, Rory McIlroy would most certainly be the betting favorite as he is right now. You’ll find in this betting preview both outright winner odds as well as three ball odds for the first round of the tournament. All of the odds in this preview are provided courtesy of William Hill. Canadian customers receive up to a $100 bonus when they sign up a new account at William Hill.

2014 BMW Championship Outright Winner Odds from William HillIt gets said a lot, but it’s certainly true in the case of the 2014 FedEx Cup. All bets are off in the playoffs! First off, Hunter Mahan won the Barclays after mailing in one of his worst seasons to date. He’s now sitting at odds of 41.00 to win the BMW even though he followed up his victory with a 64th place finish in Boston last week. He’s probably not your best bet, but his odds should probably be lower than they are so there is some value there. Chris Kirk is another very surprising breakout that’s in the mix this week at odds of 51.00. He won the Deutsche Bank by two shots with a lot of healthy competition right on his tail, including Rory McIlroy. Kirk won the McGladry Classic earlier this year, but followed it up with only one really impressive finish which was a second at the Sony Open in Hawaii.

Enough with the outsiders for the moment though and let’s focus on who is really tracking to take down the BMW Championship this year. The last two defending champions are in the field this week and they are Zach Johnson and Rory McIlroy.

Rory is being offered up at odds of 5.50 by William Hill which is probably way too high considering he’s won 50% of the tournaments he’s entered towards the end of the season. And with his T5 finish last week, he deserves credit for more than just his victories. It’s also important to note that he only missed out on tying the tournament record back in 2012 when racked up an aggregate of 264 or 20 under par at the BMW. He should be on everyones betting sheet.

Zach Johnson has been doing exactly what Zach Johnson usually does and that involves hitting fairways, making cuts, and making even more money. He has one victory this season which is on par with his normal pace. He came 16th at the Deutsche Bank and came 22nd and the Barclays which suggests that he’s nearly in form. One thing that you can count on for Zach is that he has an eye for certain golf courses and always plays certain tournaments extremely well. The John Deere is a good example of this where he has a win and three top three finishes. The only issue here is that they’re playing at Cherry Hills this year and Zach won his BMW at Conway Farms. Still, at odds of 41.00 he’s a great choice.

If we could pick one player out of the mix to take down the BMW this week though, it would be Jason Day. Day has been battling injury the last little while, but his health and his game are certainly back in form and his T2 finish at the Barclays as well as his T7 finish at the Deutsche Bank are certain proof of this. He’s at odds of 17.00 to win this week which is probably right where we’d want them. William Hill is offering you the option to make an Each Way bet on the outright winner wager for a top four finish at ¼ the odds. This is something that we can’t imagine ignoring if you’re betting on him to win.

Rory McIlroy @ 5.50 Adam Scott @ 13.00  Jason Day @ 17.00
Justin Rose @ 21.00 Rickie Fowler @ 23.00 Sergio Garcia @ 23.00
Henrik Stenson @ 26.00 Jim Furyk @ 26.00 Phil Mickelson @ 26.00
Matt Kuchar @ 29.00 Bill Haas @ 34.00 Jimmy Walker @ 34.00
Jordan Spieth @ 34.00 Graeme McDowell @ 41.00 Hunter Mahan @ 41.00
Keegan Bradley @ 41.00 Martin Kaymer @ 41.00 Webb Simpson @ 41.00
Zach Johnson @ 41.00 Bubba Watson @ 51.00 Charl Schwartzel @ 51.00
Chris Kirk @ 51.00 Gary Woodland @ 51.00 Geoff Ogilvy @ 51.00

 

BMW First Round Three Ball Odds – Featured Groups – Betting on the three balls on Thursday and Friday, and the two balls on Saturday and Sunday are a great way to keep the action rolling and also take advantage of some value for golf betting. While the online sportsbooks tend to set the odds for these matchups based on the World Golf Rankings, golf bettors can be a little more accurate by looking at very recent performance as find value. A really great example of this can be found in the Webb Simpson, Billy Horschel, Kevin Na three ball. If we throw Na out of the picture, pitting Horschel against Simpson is hardly a fair match up this year. Simpson has been having one of his worst seasons, while Horschel finished up tied for second last week at the Deutsche Bank and he had a chance to win or force a playoff while sitting in the 18th fairway. Still, we see that Webb Simpson is the favorite to win this three ball at odds of 2.37. Another good bit of value you might want to try for is the McIlroy, Mahan, Kirk grouping. While McIlroy is an easy choice and Mahan deserves consideration because of his recent win, Kirk went low at the TPC Boston last week and thrust himself to the top of the FedEx Cup Standings.  He may not be the best choice to win that group, but his payout of 3.80 is certainly out of line with his level of play right now. Take a chance on that one for sure.

* Jason Day @ 2.37 Jim Furyk @ 2.75 Jordan Spieth @ 3.10
* Webb Simpson @ 2.37 Billy Horschel @ 2.87 Kevin Na @ 3.00
* Adam Scott @ 1.91 Martin Kaymer @ 3.10 Russell Henley @ 3.80
* Rory McIlroy @ 1.83 Hunter Mahan @ 3.40 Chris Kirk @ 3.80
* Rickie Fowler @ 2.30 Zach Johnson @ 2.75 Patrick Reed @ 3.25
* Sergio Garcia @ 2.20 Geoff Ogilvy @ 2.85 Brendon Todd @ 3.50
* Matt Kuchar @ 2.50 Jimmy Walker @ 2.75 Bubba Watson @ 2.90

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